Five Notes For Today’s Games
1. There are the usual high-priced starting pitcher options: Yu Darvish RHP TEX vs OAK, Stephen Strasburg RHP WAS @ SF, Zack Greinke RHP LAD @ MIL (the Brewers have been just bad lately), and Adam Wainwright RHP STL @ SD. All these pitcher options are good in my opinion. Personally, I would use Wainwright and Strasburg over the other two if I had to pick. On the cheaper side of things, I’d continue to use Jose Fernandez RHP MIA vs PHI. Fernandez pitches really well at home. Through two previous meetings withe the Phillies, they had no real answer to Fernandez’ tight curveball. That pitch has made Fernandez very difficult to hit for LHB. I’d avoid Max Scherzer, Matt Cain, Ian Kennedy, and Alex Cobb.
2. Stud Hitters- Prince Fielder 1B DET, Albert Pujols 1B LAA (price is dropping everywhere), Brandon Phillips 2B CIN, Evan Longoria 3B TB, J.J. Hardy SS BAL, Mike Trout OF LAA, Alex Rios OF CHW, Chris Davis 1B/OF, Matt Joyce OF TB, Carl Crawford OF LAD, and Alex Gordon OF KC. There are probably 6-7 more good outfield options today (Justin Upton, Matt Kemp, Matt Holliday, Jason Heyward, Mark Trumbo, Bryce Harper, and Mitch Moreland). In my opinion it will be difficult to nail down which one of these outfielders is going to go off… I’d spend on your outfielders and first basemen and go cheap on some of the other infield positions like catcher, shortstop, and second base today.
3. Value Hitters- Matt Wieters C BAL, Matt Carpenter 2B/3B (3,500 on DraftKings), Brian McCann C ATL (3,400 facing RHP Mike Pelfrey), Jurickson Profar 2B/SS, Adam LaRoche 1B WAS (3,700 on DK), Jon Jay OF STL, Will Middlebrooks 3B BOS (3,200 on DK), David Adams 2B/3B (stack helper at 2,100 on DK), David Lough OF KC (facing a RHP and could start on 2,500 on DK), and Don Kelly 3B/OF DET.
4. Stack ‘em up- Angels vs RHP Aaron Harang, Tigers @ RHP Corey Kluber, Dodgers @ RHP Hiram Burgos, Braves vs RHP Mike Pelfrey, and Rays @ RHP Ramon Ortiz (he can’t be this good)
5. The Due Factor- So it has come to my attention that there are some within the DFS industry that don’t believe in a “due factor”. While I do agree in part, I would also say that this section isn’t necessarily about being “due” as it is more about calling my shots. It’s a skill I have acquired that is what makes me a good ranker and what drives my fantasy success. For the sake of not offending the baseball gods, I will not be changing the name due factor to anything about calling my shots. You guys know what this is so let’s get to it.
Prince Fielder 1B DET has not homered in nine games. Coincidentally, the last time he homered was on May 10th against Corey Kluber. Who does Fielder play today? You guessed it, Corey Kluber. No, Prince is not my home run call because that would be too easy. He still should be started by you.
Todd Frazier 1B/3B CIN has not homered since April 24th. Frazier is also hitting a lousy .159 against LHP with only 3 XBHs. However prior to this year, Frazier hit .309 with a .879 OPS vs LHP. His struggles versus LHP seem to be just a small sample size thing. Jon Niese has given up a .293 AVG and a .810 OPS to RHB. I think Frazier has a good chance to bring all these averages back to his career norms, but Frazier is NOT my home run pick today.
John Buck C NYM hasn’t had an extra base hit since May 1 and hasn’t homered since April 29. Here’s the interesting part of Buck. Buck is still hitting .344 and an OPS of 1.176 with runners in scoring position even though he’s been in a month long slump. I think the Mets will get some players on base in front of Buck so does that mean Buck is my pick to go deep today? Yes it does. Buck is DUE to go yard today.