If you don’t mind multi-tasking, a Judd Apatow movie is the perfect accompaniment to a mock draft. They generally start strong, have really slow, long scenes in the middle and I swear an assistant has to tell Apatow “Yes, this movie does actually have to end.”
I participated in the 2014 FFToolbox mock draft last night. This was one of many mocks set up by Mr. Toolbox, Scott Atkins. The league included Scott Atkins of FF Toolbox, Micah aka FF Magic Man who does the FF Toolbox podcast, Shane P Hallam, and David Gonos.
It was a 16-round draft with the following starting lineup requirements: QB-2RB-3WR-1TE-2flex-D-K. My strategy going in was the same as it usually is. I like to make that first-round pick the best available guy and react accordingly. I had the 1.03 pick and there was the sneaking suspicion that LeSean McCoy and Jamaal Charles would to 1 and 2, which was the case. I took Matt Forte over Adrian Peterson or Calvin Johnson. Here’s my full draft:
1.03: Matt Forte
2.10: Randall Cobb
3.03: Rob Gronkowski
4.10: Toby Gerhart
5.03: Torrey Smith
6.10: Sammy Watkins
7.03: Frank Gore
8.10: Cam Newton
9.03: Jordan Matthews
10.10: Kelvin Benjamin
11.03: Khiry Robinson
12.10: Tyler Eifert
13.03: Russell Wilson
14.10: KC D/ST
15.03: Antonio Gates
16.10: Shayne Graham
Let’s recap the full draft by position. In “expert” drafts, I’ve seen QB fall and fall and fall. Peyton went 2.11, Aaron Rodgers went 5.08, and Drew Brees went 5.11. Most likely, my best move would have been to grab Peyton at 2.10 or Rodgers at 5.03. Cam disappointed me a bit by being somewhat inconsistent in 2013, but he’s still a steady presence. As you see, I got Russell Wilson as my backup in the 13th round.
Because of the ability to start 4 RBs or 5 WRs, those positions were hit hard all the way through. You didn’t get any bargains, although Micah getting Lynch at 2.09 seems pretty nice. I recently traded Matt Forte in a dynasty league due to his age. He’s only missed five games in six years, but he generally finishes as a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2, so I bought him at no discount. Gerhart’s been rising a ton, and I’ve even seen him go in the third round, so 4.10 seemed solid for my RB2. Frank Gore probably will tail off as the year progresses, because it’s going to be hard for 49ers coaches to limit his workload on a weekly basis. Khiry Robinson had a fantastic rookie year on a per-touch basis. If he can take more of Mark Ingram’s workload, he could be a spot starter.
I went a bit rookie-heavy in this mock. After getting post-injury Cobb and sneaky riser Torrey Smith, it was youngsters all the way. I’m a big fan of the second-year guys like Justin Hunter, Kenny Stills, DeAndre Hopkins, and Aaron Dobson but they went a bit higher than I liked. Sammy Watkins, Jordan Matthews, and Kelvin Benjamin should get prominent roles in their offenses starting in year one.
Tight end, like QB, dropped due to the one starting position. I’m going to struggle to pass on Gronk at the 2/3 turn. He’s had better per-game numbers for his career than Jimmy Graham, and the injury risk is priced in. Jimmy Graham went 1.10, Julius Thomas went 2.12, I took Gronk at 3.03 and the next TE off the board was Jordan Cameron at 5.12. Every once in a while I like to take the older guy who probably still has another year or two of production and Antonio Gates fit the bill in the 15th round. He did tail off in the second half but Philip Rivers isn’t going to write Gates out of the game plan.
I drafted one defense and kicker because I had to. This is where the Apatow metaphor fits best. It was a relatively quick mock, starting at 9 p.m. and finishing at 10:30, but the last 30 minutes were a big drag.
How did I do? I took my team to the Fantasy Pros Draft Wizard and the results aren’t promising. My team’s ranked 9th overall, tied for 7th in starters, and 10th in bench.